Movies · resolved market
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x477a8c4900266dfd6228c0a295e2f1130078e5b3bbb7287f46b756d1b9c6a61d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked Yes | 2c | 3,600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 44c | 1,314$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.01 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 50c | 1,162$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.49 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 14c | 1,142$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 49c | 843$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 28c | 824$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 12c | 810.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 806$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.99 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 72c | 783$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…5173backed Yes | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 49c | 616.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.01 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 49c | 525.39$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 47c | 488.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.28 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 49c | 459.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 47c | 459.67$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 55c | 455.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 55c | 444.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes | 53c | 432.31$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 56c | 412.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed No | 49c | 354.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 56c | 353$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 55c | 320$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecec…4ee2backed Yes | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 51c | 302.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 52c | 294.21$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…a257backed Yes | 30c | 293$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd7…ac70backed Yes | 29c | 284$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 28c | 258$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 52c | 254.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 40c | 244.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 59c | 234.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…6011backed Yes | 30c | 231$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 230.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…8e5dbacked Yes | 29c | 229$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked No | 45c | 219.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 50c | 216.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 43c | 216$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…0f57backed Yes | 52c | 211.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…7259backed No | 48c | 211.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 53c | 209.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…d063backed No | 70c | 209$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 58c | 187.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 39c | 183.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…fefbbacked Yes | 50c | 183.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…bcbcbacked Yes | 29c | 183$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed No | 72c | 182$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 42c | 175.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…71b6backed No | 40c | 149.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 138.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 137.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…8e5ebacked Yes | 42c | 128.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 51c | 125.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…9f90backed No | 71c | 122$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…d32ebacked Yes | 51c | 118.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 114.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd530…d087backed Yes | 29c | 113$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0784…1430backed No | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…faafbacked No | 70c | 111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb4…1fb8backed No | 71c | 109$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d4…8f8bbacked Yes | 30c | 107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…ced7backed No | 71c | 107$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…ad5bbacked Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 43c | 104.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…663bbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…66b3backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 50c | 99.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…d257backed Yes | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…454ebacked No | 70c | 97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…2e40backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…81b5backed No | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9990…4c06backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…a73dbacked Yes | 30c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Yes | 45c | 88.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 57c | 87.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d1…f721backed No | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…42f4backed No | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…8bd5backed Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea19…01bcbacked Yes | 30c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…d6f1backed Yes | 30c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…7f55backed Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 44c | 69.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…9066backed Yes | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…3d73backed No | 70c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…c6dabacked No | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496c…c137backed No | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…4c59backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…3467backed Yes | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…6d42backed Yes | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…a5ffbacked Yes | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54f…c2febacked No | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddb…a455backed Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Emily Blunt (The Smashing Machine) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.