TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd7d…5bc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Movies, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.57
Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.16
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$94.47
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$366.75
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36.36
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$207.87
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$218.4
Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25%+$93.8
Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Casting at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.96
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Production Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$93.87
Will "Zootropolis 2" win in the Children's & Family Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$218.4
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$123.66
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$324.72
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$66.69
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.5%+$84.75
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$60.69
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+212.5%+$350.88
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$135.66
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$39.26
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$261.66
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.94
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$128.96
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$72.24
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$42.34
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.55
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$77.08
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$65.16
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.76
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.33
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.19
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.89
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$373.47
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$82.96
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.09
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$389.54
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25.9%+$110.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$71.4
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.7
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.81
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$90.65
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+153.4%+$252.47
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$223.72
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$13.34
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$592.13
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$348.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.23
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$208.32
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.48
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" 3+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.75
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$135.23
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+156.4%+$420.9
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$112.53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.11
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$24.18
Will Sam Altman say "Meme" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+101.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$87.57
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$62.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick16cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+525%+$269.64
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$85.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.08
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.35
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+306.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+306.7%+$534.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$176.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$170.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$569.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$638.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.