Movies · resolved market
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60b3cd4cf8ceac30fa096a4f41f3994bd5551a4b6385f71343212bd2282af29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 58c | 1,834$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.41 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 1,454$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Yes | 51c | 981.32$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 39c | 949.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.99 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 61c | 885$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 54c | 790.47$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.57 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked No | 61c | 710$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.1 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked Yes | 38c | 668$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Yes | 41c | 610.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 39c | 603$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 41c | 583.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.5 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 57c | 580.13$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.47 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 62c | 522$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 38c | 517$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.54 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…5513backed Yes | 52c | 459.09$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 39c | 410$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 38c | 405$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 54c | 367.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 363$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 59c | 354.86$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…7259backed No | 61c | 337$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…bbffbacked Yes | 45c | 337$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 45c | 335.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 62c | 309$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 62c | 304$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 38c | 304$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 62c | 294$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 58c | 282$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 61c | 261$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 39c | 261$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 41c | 255.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…fefbbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…1dd1backed Yes | 42c | 240.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes | 42c | 240.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…ae55backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…0f57backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 42c | 225$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 62c | 208$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked No | 49c | 201$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 182.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…8e5ebacked Yes | 37c | 174.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 62c | 166$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 39c | 164$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 43c | 153.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 62c | 146$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 58c | 138.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 55c | 136.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…580cbacked Yes | 40c | 124.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 39c | 118$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…ad5bbacked Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked No | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 38c | 94.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…3778backed Yes | 40c | 92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 59c | 84.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 60c | 84.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked No | 61c | 81.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 40c | 76.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 72.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 44c | 64.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked Yes | 42c | 63.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 51c | 62.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 36c | 62.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 49c | 61.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…5edebacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…3b00backed Yes | 41c | 56.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 56c | 51.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed No | 48c | 44.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 38c | 39.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…e168backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…9ed0backed Yes | 40c | 37.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed Yes | 41c | 37.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…ce37backed Yes | 45c | 34.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4f…e58cbacked Yes | 48c | 31.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 58c | 29.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…8bf1backed No | 61c | 29.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0f…110ebacked Yes | 42c | 29.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Paul Mescal (Hamnet) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.