TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6368…d45e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+99.4%+$50.46
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Predators vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.01
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31%+$349.24
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$59.7
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+915.7%+$274.7
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$365.82
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$400.02
Will Rebecca Miller - Mr. Scorsese win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+52.9%+$66.1
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.3%+$29.33
Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?backed Iron Lung · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+67.5%+$34.71
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+57.3%+$27.8
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+39.5%+$85.89
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.63
Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.4%+$56.79
Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$37.34
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$42.31
Will Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$48.42
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.53
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$401.51
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.48
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.39
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100.9%+$252.21
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75.01
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$9.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.77
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$64.6
West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 22 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.16
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$39.16
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$40.38
CF Montréal vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.93
Atlanta United FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.11
New England Revolution vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
San Diego FC vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$250.02
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,017Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.2%+$771.19
Will Kazakhstan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.9%+$29.25
Will Ragne Wiklund (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25.1%+$25.05
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will Davide Ghiotto (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+117.6%+$117.64
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+78.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$37.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+87.4%+$87.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,529.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.