NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8182ff26314629b17763b7485890721703db93b19e1ef00714d36a0e2831fca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 7,435$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.52 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 4,980$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 50c | 3,633$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.57 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 2,983$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.35 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,777$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.47 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 1,100$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 51c | 491$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 49c | 489$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 412$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 269$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 251.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 48c | 185.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 51c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 50c | 61.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 54.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Panthers vs. BluesBlues won
- Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.