NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c42b9a653a44e430bf6197e66a37b464dab6019b1a15a284619dba11e9c971d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Panthers, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 62c | 4,411$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.13 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Panthers | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blues | 65c | 2,159$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.7 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Panthers | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…a793backed Panthers | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Panthers | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers | 35c | 999.92$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.97 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues | 62c | 528$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.92 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers | 36c | 399.41$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Blues | 65c | 369.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Blues | 65c | 321.76$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Panthers | 38c | 290$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blues | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers | 38c | 174$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Blues | 62c | 173.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Panthers | 36c | 164.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Panthers | 33c | 131.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Panthers | 34c | 130.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 35c | 125.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Panthers | 35c | 102$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Panthers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Panthers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 64c | 79.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Panthers | 21c | 78.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 38c | 75.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Blues | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Panthers | 31c | 68.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Panthers | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Panthers | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Panthers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Panthers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blues | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Blues | 62c | 46.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blues | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Panthers | 35c | 42.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Panthers | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Panthers | 36c | 36.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blues | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Blues | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. BluesBlues won
- Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.