TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,799.9313151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c9,872$6,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,723.891,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9810748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under38c2,396$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.9246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over68c2,102$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.5542438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over71c2,077$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.991163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over57c1,979$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.245248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over71c1,720$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.062185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under48c1,041$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.574573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over68c878.04$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.0359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under32c800$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54414447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532a…bfefbacked Under32c745.27$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.791844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over69c724.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c680$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.054957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under49c616.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.48757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under17c576.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.2215936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3258650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3252552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under33c499.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under34c499.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.838038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under32c450$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30638356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under32c450$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30621354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under32c399.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9915657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under35c399.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9922647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under30c390.8$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5624327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over49c383$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.673145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under32c360$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.817855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under32c350$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23817251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5813234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over68c311$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under28c301.11$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.89540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.511649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20412748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20413552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over68c281.75$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4913149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under32c279.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3913453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over70c270.85$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.75525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c258.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over68c219.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.554740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under28c218.87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5923947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under18c201.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4920042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13618754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Under34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.992948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Under13c195$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.653164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under32c190$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.213252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under32c180$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.410650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under32c170$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.613352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under32c170$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.610949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under32c170$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.616251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under32c170$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.613751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under32c169.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5911449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over62c162.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.522152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10218350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over68c132.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under14c122$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4429142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over66c121.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.610753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.612652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over58c113.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.727561.3%46 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over65c110.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.814852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under32c105.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5211548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under21c100.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9439743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6811947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Under31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d05bbacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over66c92.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.28150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over71c86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under32c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.48850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Over72c80$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c76.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over61c73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.824146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c70.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9438253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6368…d45ebacked Over71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under32c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.613853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c67.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.271,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Over71c61.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.86867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.813248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.812149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.815153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.813151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under37c59.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.966259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over68c57.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over52c56.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35052%26 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Under29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Over71c49.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over43c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.