Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a4cc88bb8088cf7ef1bebd3df2dffcdd494edf25ad9dbc82c0fbed64a56519

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,364 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	24c	16,982$4,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,124.72	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	74c	10,000$7,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over	26c	4,331$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.79	434	27.4%119 W · 315 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	30c	3,279$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.28	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under	74c	3,000$2,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.99	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under	74c	2,718$2,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.59	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	26c	2,135$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.76	397	46.9%186 W · 211 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.07	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over	26c	887.35$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.71	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	74c	799.96$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.99	144	47.2%68 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Under	64c	786.99$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.99	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under	70c	665.49$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.59	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f25…1cb2backed Under	71c	625.38$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd72…cc45backed Over	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	74c	449.98$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.99	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	74c	449.94$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.98	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	28c	420.71$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.57	597	41.7%249 W · 348 L	-18.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under	74c	400$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	156	57.1%89 W · 67 L	+10.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under	69c	400$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	45	68.9%31 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	74c	399.97$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.99	449	55.7%250 W · 199 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	74c	380.41$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.91	383	56.7%217 W · 166 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under	74c	350$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	74c	327.86$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.24	178	55.6%99 W · 79 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over	26c	323.08$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	132	46.2%61 W · 71 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Over	26c	316.04$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.55	104	31.7%33 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	283	57.2%162 W · 121 L	+15.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under	74c	299.99$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	127	48%61 W · 66 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under	74c	299.98$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under	74c	299.95$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.99	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under	74c	279.99$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.8	134	53.7%72 W · 62 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under	74c	249.99$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	469	56.5%265 W · 204 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	29c	236.83$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	68c	219.2$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.86	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	187	54.5%102 W · 85 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under	74c	199.99$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	26c	192.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under	74c	190$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.4	132	52.3%69 W · 63 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under	74c	180$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.8	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	71c	175.98$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.79	397	43.3%172 W · 225 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	34c	171.2$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.18	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under	74c	170$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under	74c	170$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under	74c	170$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under	74c	169.99$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	74c	169.99$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	74c	169.99$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under	74c	169.99$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	74c	169.99$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	162	51.2%83 W · 79 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	30.3%37 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under	62c	160.04$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.04	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under	74c	160$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	156	51.3%80 W · 76 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e22…6f48backed Over	31c	158.88$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under	74c	149.99$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	183	50.3%92 W · 91 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under	74c	149.99$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	142	47.2%67 W · 75 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under	74c	120$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under	74c	120$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under	74c	120$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	74c	120$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	113	50.4%57 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under	74c	120$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	118	50%59 W · 59 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under	74c	119.99$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	117	47%55 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under	74c	119.99$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	32c	119.96$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.39	297	46.5%138 W · 159 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	25c	109.13$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.11	424	38%161 W · 263 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under	74c	80$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under	74c	80$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	88	50%44 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…f671backed Over	26c	76.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	68c	74.64$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.89	239	47.7%114 W · 125 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under	67c	74.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under	74c	70$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	138	53.6%74 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under	72c	69.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	30c	69.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.51	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532a…bfefbacked Over	26c	66.21$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.21	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	119	52.1%62 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under	74c	59.99$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	151	53%80 W · 71 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under	74c	59.99$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under	74c	59.98$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under	74c	59.98$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.59	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over	31c	52.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	106	48.1%51 W · 55 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Under	72c	49.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	31c	47.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	200	42.5%85 W · 115 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	30c	46.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	165	53.3%88 W · 77 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Under	68c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a3…b461backed Over	31c	34.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	70c	33.33$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under	70c	31.43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.43	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bd…a514backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under	76c	25.3$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.07	88	68.2%60 W · 28 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	76cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5this page
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event