TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c14,895$7,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,343.21,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over51c11,204$5,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,677757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over45c9,478$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2652552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over45c9,283$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.3516144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under55c8,200$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.9313151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c4,727$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.253839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c4,677$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.1433851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ac…d211backed Over50c3,047$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9912249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over52c2,875$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under50c2,848$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4242060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c2,555$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.0359441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over48c1,744$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.123237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over48c1,618$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.775745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Over45c1,400$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305855.2%32 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over49c971.81$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.115525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3113134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Under52c750.21$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.081540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over49c600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29111152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over50c502.4$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.26253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over62c485.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c450$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.538356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under42c437.31$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8415936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under46c401$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.543053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18044955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under51c399$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.516536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under48c393$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8938043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under56c373.06$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1522647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16217855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Over50c338$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1693060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under55c311.73$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2816753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13512748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over57c299.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12613453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c275.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c245.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.021,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Under45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1213164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9018754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over45c199$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.64852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under56c198.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.459445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.513252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8110650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.45653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under52c179.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.411649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over49c174$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.510949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.516251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under55c169.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4911449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7215651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over52c159.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.119841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under55c156.68$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5114352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.941850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.518350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over63c148.11$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.312147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Under51c141.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.181957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under55c139.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7811548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Over51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under51c131.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3513149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under51c129.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.419644.8%43 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.654850%24 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c114.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.529445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under45c104.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.292045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under40c102.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9639443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee3…9842backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4821354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under72c97.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under51c90.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.22450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under55c72.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.111452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.513853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under55c68.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6314247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over61c66.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5911653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under49c61.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.859136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.