Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c01637d3306a59d7812417ee6669a12cb8c4bcd7272c06c334417fa61718c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 14c | 1,411$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 31c | 748.29$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.14 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 51c | 460.63$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.71 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 49c | 300.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 54c | 175.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 38c | 116.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked No | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 27c | 60.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed No | 75c | 49.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed No | 79c | 49.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked Yes | 25c | 42.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 38c | 36.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 50c | 32.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked No | 54c | 31.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 62c | 26.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.