TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c5,240$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.912,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under38c2,139$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.0341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under24c1,875$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.635166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c1,510$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.5793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over65c1,506$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.155655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.711872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under13c1,149$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.19633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+314.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Over48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over63c1,001$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.3619952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over22c999.75$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.82520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over67c802.73$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c477.29$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under15c474.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.69944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick9cpaid+324.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over69c470.18$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over64c470$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16911161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under45c468.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0915244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under44c464.77$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3814752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over69c440.39$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.52757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over63c339.75$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6111346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over50c337.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under64c293.44$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4710759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1013…55fabacked Over74c266.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c263.73$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over67c260$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d82…545bbacked Over54c244.9$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.653100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under40c241.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.394973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under14c240$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c234.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over78c232.88$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.235054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over30c219.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.793225%8 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over77c217.58$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2219154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c206.41$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6949137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over78c197.36$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.423737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over63c193.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick63cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c187.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over59c165.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.167262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under48c136.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.434746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under74c132.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.447240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under36c129.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-61.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8317354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over78c123.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.128453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under43c121.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.153438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under29c120.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.994555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…839ebacked Under23c116.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over79c103.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.77977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over66c101.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.692250%11 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over19c99.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.984632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c98.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4626747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.638158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over68c92.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over44c87.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.21921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over54c86.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.763847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over55c86.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.162965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under28c83.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6418125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under46c83.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6910451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over69c81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.119056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under49c79.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under64c78.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.096860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under76c75.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0613653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under65c75.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1310358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over39c74.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.211070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over64c67.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under63c62.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over79c60.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.364365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under79c52.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5914159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fae…3e26backed Over56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over71c48.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.056569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under39c46.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1920452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8162…2fbbbacked Over78c46.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over42c46.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.746043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over46c43.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4431958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under79c43.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.217163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over69c42.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.393076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over69c42.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under41c42.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+57.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bce…a18cbacked Over70c39.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over34c39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.748548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under79c37.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.856258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under47c34.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.892268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over51c30.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2623345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over49c30.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.345168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb6…c637backed Over68c26.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf6a…08a7backed Over76c24.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Over42c24.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Over57c22.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under55c21.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over63c20.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over71c19.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Over66c17.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.921748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.