NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f858899d48fc80a189dc1028a6a0d7a521f4d1a8f2cbf1e3e07005592487869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 9,946$5,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.17 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 8,113$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.81 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 2,730$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.22 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 1,354$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.8 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,296$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.55 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 54c | 854.3$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.32 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 537$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 47c | 311.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 47c | 311.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 53c | 299.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.97 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 237.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 47c | 209.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 46c | 199$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 189.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 72c | 117$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 22c | 116$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 47c | 97.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 46c | 86.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 78c | 81.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 53c | 74.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 45c | 68.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 59.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 46c | 54.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 47.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Under | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…278ebacked Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 67c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Islanders vs. RangersIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Rangers won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.