NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a8335c9423f422a04539cf4f069197fadf0ba1d770d05ece84e53301c4e4b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Islanders, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe84e…88a3backed Islanders | 33c | 21,700$7,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,094 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…8db6backed Rangers | 67c | 21,700$14,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,094 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 65c | 9,679$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.61 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Islanders | 35c | 6,767$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.43 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Islanders | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 37c | 2,974$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers | 63c | 2,924$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…9b1abacked Rangers | 68c | 1,700$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…3e1dbacked Islanders | 32c | 1,659$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 34c | 1,248$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 66c | 1,180$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Islanders | 34c | 859$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Rangers | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rangers | 66c | 296.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Islanders | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Islanders | 31c | 217.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Islanders | 20c | 202.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 26c | 201.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Islanders | 49c | 143$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 65c | 108.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Islanders | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 69c | 86.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Islanders | 35c | 76.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Islanders | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Islanders | 41c | 49.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 66c | 45.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 52c | 44.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Islanders | 35c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Islanders | 35c | 39.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Islanders | 32c | 38.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Islanders | 32c | 36.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Rangers | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 67c | 27.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Rangers | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Rangers | 66c | 24.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Rangers | 63c | 20.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Rangers | 65c | 19.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Islanders vs. RangersIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.