TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Islanders, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,060,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,084,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,060,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Rangers44c334,551$147,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,202.6519848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Islanders57c132,161$75,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,829.3348545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Islanders56c121,815$68,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,598.7356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rangers43c100,000$43,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders56c100,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,0001,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Islanders56c77,142$42,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,167.1467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Islanders57c58,388$33,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,106.752458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Rangers43c50,322$21,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,737.8926849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Rangers43c50,000$21,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,499.9211052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rangers43c39,999$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,199.5424349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders57c30,187$17,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,861.2179350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rangers43c29,832$12,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,727.382,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Islanders57c26,316$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,315.793243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers43c23,696$10,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,189.121,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rangers42c20,003$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.9547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Islanders56c18,888$10,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,310.7221850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Rangers47c15,000$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders57c14,487$8,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,237.581,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Rangers44c13,347$5,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,872.563554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e7…84dfbacked Islanders56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,280560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Islanders57c11,363$6,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,833.6261953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Islanders56c11,111$6,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.8413363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Islanders56c10,946$6,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,833.5761748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders53c10,843$5,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100.611,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Islanders57c10,526$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,526.328848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rangers44c10,028$4,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,411.4262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Rangers44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Rangers43c8,893$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.044957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Islanders56c8,000$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Islanders57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Rangers44c7,585$3,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.826835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Islanders57c7,044$4,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.9456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders56c7,021$3,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0891,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Rangers43c6,964$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.654045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Islanders56c6,520$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.5966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers43c6,500$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Islanders58c6,303$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.1138844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Islanders56c5,647$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.393953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Islanders56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Islanders53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Islanders56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2007347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Islanders57c4,141$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.524358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Islanders57c4,033$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.0814753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Islanders56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Islanders57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7206949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Islanders57c3,993$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Rangers44c3,926$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.279052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Rangers43c3,887$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.2830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Rangers46c3,834$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.7731550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Rangers48c3,354$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.2833243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Rangers46c3,043$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Islanders53c3,004$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.79935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Islanders57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2908650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9934845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rangers7c2,979$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.892,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Rangers43c2,858$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.5426955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd9…1dc7backed Islanders57c2,828$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.98875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Rangers47c2,690$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.245149%25 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers30c2,602$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.193,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers43c2,602$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.81,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Rangers44c2,572$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.7864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers28c2,570$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.931,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Islanders56c2,552$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.232,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rangers43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rangers43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.927243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Rangers44c2,400$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Islanders54c2,377$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.8345955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Islanders57c2,331$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.265856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Islanders56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01225555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Rangers44c2,233$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.4936748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Rangers45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders56c2,029$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.7891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Islanders80c2,011$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.347354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Islanders56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Rangers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.7861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Islanders56c1,857$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.0641248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Islanders57c1,817$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.2518258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Rangers45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010850.9%55 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Rangers43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.994047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Islanders56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7114654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Rangers47c1,709$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.2336349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Rangers43c1,628$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers43c1,600$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.631,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Rangers45c1,556$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers1c1,543$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.931458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers44c1,500$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…19bcbacked Rangers44c1,358$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers45c1,306$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.7861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rangers43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Islanders56c1,184$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.914953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Rangers44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Islanders56c1,108$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.638845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Rangers44c1,100$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4845749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Rangers45c1,091$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9613954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Islanders58c1,084$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.162,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.