NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a8e22d6a48895b73ba15e80158abe8a00d1ac306935a0cccf9fa421fc40d52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $776,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $774,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 57c | 491,487$278,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,525.8 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 266,004$114,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,381.92 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 99,581$45,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,017.71 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 55c | 70,956$39,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,930.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 54c | 66,443$35,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,574.75 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 52,500$23,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,025 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 29,164$16,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,123.97 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 22,222$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,222 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 20,804$9,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,053.55 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 55c | 14,914$8,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,761.29 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 44c | 12,004$5,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.93 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 46c | 10,899$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 10,530$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 46c | 9,666$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 6,785$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.69 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 54c | 6,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 5,825$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 4,224$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.57 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Under | 44c | 3,805$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 45c | 3,600$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…0599backed Under | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 45c | 3,314$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.18 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 46c | 3,295$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 53c | 3,248$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.96 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 55c | 2,965$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.36 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Under | 45c | 2,750$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 54c | 2,712$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 53c | 2,444$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.68 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 53c | 2,130$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.1 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 2,037$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.69 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 1,950$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.38 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…043cbacked Under | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 46c | 1,514$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.42 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…0974backed Over | 55c | 1,010$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 674.73$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 626$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 488$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 46c | 454.68$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 55c | 433.85$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 46c | 333.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 55c | 293.68$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 45c | 289.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Over | 56c | 232.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…bb80backed Over | 55c | 217.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 210$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 176.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 133.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 46c | 127.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 47c | 114.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 111.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Under | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 96.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Under | 45c | 86.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 46c | 83.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…c94dbacked Under | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 45c | 61.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 71c | 47.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. OilersWild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.