NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec8164cb976d0913d9578d695e9ef9b5e426ab0e50cf4e95933432c1a0ad478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Oilers, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Oilers | 35c | 11,752$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.11 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Wild | 65c | 6,045$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.76 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Wild | 67c | 3,987$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.64 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Oilers | 3c | 1,050$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Oilers | 33c | 903$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild | 67c | 853$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.49 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Wild | 65c | 705.31$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.86 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 33c | 537.1$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 65c | 490.56$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Oilers | 33c | 401.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Wild | 66c | 224.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Oilers | 32c | 134$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Oilers | 33c | 127$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…25e3backed Wild | 68c | 114.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wild | 68c | 114$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Oilers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 67c | 80.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Wild | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Wild | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Wild | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Wild | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Wild | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Wild | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Wild | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Wild | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Wild | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Wild | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. OilersWild won
- Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.