TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,227,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,241,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,227,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Wild47c350,498$163,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,372.9219848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Wild46c304,445$140,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,400.5410840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Oilers54c290,307$156,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,199.9156152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Oilers54c110,000$59,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,40067051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Oilers54c62,409$33,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,701.0948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Oilers54c55,000$29,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,699.948657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Oilers0c29,680$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.682528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Oilers53c28,888$15,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,310.633844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Oilers54c28,480$15,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,378.9315953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers53c25,300$13,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,467.266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Wild46c20,509$9,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,075.051,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Oilers69c20,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,799.993243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild45c16,781$7,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,229.441,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wild46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10086852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Oilers55c14,456$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0008848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wild46c14,029$6,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,535.8661748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Wild47c12,800$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7843435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Oilers54c11,673$6,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,303.233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Oilers54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wild46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Wild31c9,629$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,644.217057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Oilers5c9,102$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.113437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Oilers54c8,553$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.5193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Oilers7c8,435$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.7941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Oilers54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Oilers19c7,484$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.997354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild46c7,004$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.331,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers54c6,531$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.7426058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Wild46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5101,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers54c6,242$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.881,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Oilers54c6,074$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.877347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Wild31c5,800$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0023764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Oilers1c5,669$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.761936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Oilers54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Oilers53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Oilers54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Oilers9c4,983$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wild49c4,909$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.441,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wild46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.8360337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Oilers55c4,279$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.8614753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Wild47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3213946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Oilers54c4,223$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Oilers54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Wild46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Oilers54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1603740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Wild44c3,930$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.9711052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild57c3,840$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.4775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers52c3,749$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.183,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Wild45c3,600$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.9934845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers13c3,417$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Oilers53c3,400$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.9861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wild46c3,228$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.4561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Oilers51c3,194$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.8895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Oilers53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5904841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Wild46c2,848$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.88360.2%50 W · 33 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers5c2,770$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Oilers55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers53c2,656$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.6879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers4c2,591$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.492,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Oilers54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Wild48c2,495$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.4785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild46c2,400$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Oilers59c2,364$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.6485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wild46c2,262$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.454047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Oilers21c2,252$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.648845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Wild46c2,175$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.57138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Oilers71c2,128$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.757163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers54c2,122$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.711,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Oilers54c2,113$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13445955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Oilers56c2,075$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.256949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Oilers54c2,032$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.3916254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Wild46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08040049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Oilers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10014142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Wild47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…b5cbbacked Oilers6c1,809$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.674641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Wild47c1,759$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.4716955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Wild46c1,685$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.952050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild46c1,600$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild47c1,598$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.5543743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild46c1,555$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Wild47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wild50c1,423$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.512,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers34c1,416$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.661,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Oilers54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild42c1,381$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.9368449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Oilers54c1,344$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.41,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Oilers53c1,251$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.034148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild45c1,200$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Oilers12c1,172$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14341650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Oilers1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wild46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59445749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Wild46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59444551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Oilers2c1,100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Wild46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9842847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Wild46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.965736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Wild46c1,066$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.6238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wild60c1,065$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.712,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Wild47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8315252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.