TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c11,382$3,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.833,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6127backed Over66c9,689$6,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c6,130$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.2491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over67c5,738$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.994141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c5,410$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.361,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over68c3,900$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.3743344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c3,213$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.112,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over66c3,172$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…206dbacked Over66c2,244$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.28540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under31c1,931$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over69c1,831$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.071546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Over66c1,484$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under34c1,472$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2414552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over67c1,463$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.791353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.972161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under34c1,092$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7411443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under33c1,038$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.454461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under33c927.91$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3155545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under33c890.88$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3314654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under33c890.88$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.335265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over68c867.07$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.644949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over67c803.18$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c785.42$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.681,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under34c689.25$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8569448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under32c670.09$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.435740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over66c641.11$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Over66c468.68$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.35988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under34c450.03$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Over66c445.27$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.391662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over67c438.9$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.842360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under35c434.3$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.643357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under34c412.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.168254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under34c412.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1610956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c389.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.542,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under32c371.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under33c348.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.973458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over67c310.42$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.443381.8%27 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.561258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Over67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.049056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under33c280.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.729345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b2…822fbacked Over70c272.49$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under34c246.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.125263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over66c228$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.525255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over66c222.63$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over67c196.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6920056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f2…d2e3backed Over66c182.56$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under34c181.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.419546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over65c160.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.052268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under34c153.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.475850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.963164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over67c148.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.164235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.461957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under34c147.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over67c147.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Over67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Over67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under35c138.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.038349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1616856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under32c119.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.373855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under31c108.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9338047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under22c101$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5633522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…1a89backed Over67c99.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over67c98.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.359255.4%51 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under34c92.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.572161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over66c89.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.281070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.147054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1414767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Over67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under33c72.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9612258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082576%19 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under34c70.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.014151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under34c66.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.682744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Over67c66.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under31c61.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6d…0508backed Over66c59.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Under34c58.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.772347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over67c58.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over66c56.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.351181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Under33c55.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under34c52.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.152560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under34c52.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.155547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under34c52.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1517153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under34c52.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.153145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under34c52.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.152352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f62…0774backed Over66c51.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over65c49.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.493655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under21c48.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under35c48.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.737848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under34c47.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.021866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over67c46.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.142157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.