Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064e3aa473d598e9a0d6aaee9d32b32f9f95f0b5498b596e25cf3c940ab8d695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under | 60c | 55,017$32,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,102.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 40c | 23,507$9,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,403.13 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 17,812$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.73 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 61c | 15,119$9,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 53c | 10,667$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.21 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Over | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +113%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Over | 41c | 10,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 38c | 9,928$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.6 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 23c | 9,861$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 38c | 7,199$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.74 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 6,865$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.08 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 5,670$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.86 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Under | 62c | 3,152$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 47c | 2,996$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 39c | 2,973$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.53 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 19c | 2,861$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Over | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 2,182$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.67 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 38c | 1,926$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 1,886$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Under | 62c | 1,719$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…eb73backed Under | 62c | 1,715$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 39c | 1,640$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 1,455$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.26 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,365$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 63c | 1,278$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.78 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 76c | 1,257$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.51 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.93 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Over | 38c | 1,062$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 1,052$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.29 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Under | 62c | 1,020$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Under | 61c | 1,003$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 41c | 1,001$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 40c | 970.49$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.33 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 40c | 963.44$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.37 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 37c | 955.72$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Over | 78c | 885.97$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 848.27$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.26 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 75c | 831$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.25 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 748.36$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.18 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 30c | 723.15$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over | 39c | 722.45$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 703.04$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.47 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 39c | 702.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 38c | 675.86$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 37c | 666.47$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.21 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…6ee2backed Over | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 34c | 620.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 604.84$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 67c | 588.82$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 43c | 588.3$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 75c | 581.64$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 62c | 550.45$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…69aebacked Over | 39c | 543.46$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 42c | 534.49$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.3 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 41c | 509.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.05 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 75c | 492.5$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 38c | 471.27$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 61c | 464.49$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 75c | 429.36$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 427.23$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 38c | 420.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Over | 76c | 396.95$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 39c | 385.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…2ccabacked Over | 38c | 378.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 15c | 335.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 77c | 323.68$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 57c | 304.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 59c | 293.54$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 79c | 291.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…b9c8backed Under | 20c | 252$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +200%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 40c | 243.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 40c | 242.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 40c | 241.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 40c | 241.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…39b8backed Over | 36c | 239.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 38c | 226.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 42c | 225.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.