TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6e0…39b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.26
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33%+$22.51
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.89
Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinskibacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$67.62
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Rusebacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$63.38
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.46
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.1
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Alexander Blockxbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.21
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.35
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.56
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$106.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$58.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.