TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,070,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,120,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,070,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No26c223,853$59,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,690.675242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed No26c133,280$34,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,627.344100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+142.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No25c117,144$29,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,328.8110539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes73c100,000$73,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,999.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes74c75,799$56,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,091.111625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes75c73,567$55,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,437.8150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes0c67,511$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.164748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes74c50,391$37,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,289.432334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No24c47,072$11,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,541.1516740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Yes52c45,025$23,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,238.061353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes75c44,325$33,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,243.759743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No26c42,559$11,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,453.6715051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No26c39,150$10,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,9713941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No27c38,020$10,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,635.976023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No44c33,441$14,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,652.764856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes74c31,274$23,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,266.111,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes73c31,028$22,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,650.2983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No26c30,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,199.865964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No26c29,153$7,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,495.92040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No26c28,614$7,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,278.296243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c27,865$13,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,6521,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No26c23,084$6,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,081.927139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No25c21,457$5,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,092.941566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No27c20,080$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,658.555442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…7314backed Yes73c19,922$14,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,642.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes38c18,789$7,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,056.455538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes74c18,704$13,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,840.663839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No25c18,301$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,725.963925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49f…b0f0backed No25c17,667$4,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,250.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+170.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes74c17,071$12,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,568.82,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No27c17,030$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,431.846145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No27c16,125$4,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,771.511729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c15,914$11,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,623.424,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes75c14,071$10,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,569.159244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No25c14,000$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,539.886640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes76c12,344$9,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,362.364362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes55c11,012$6,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,024.065726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1c50backed Yes45c10,498$4,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,770.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed No66c10,331$6,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.651080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No48c10,101$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,257.034645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.632755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes78c9,869$7,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,698.5122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes65c9,732$6,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,365.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No26c9,697$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,175.946357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No26c9,379$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,913.353444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No26c9,027$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,679.793135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes20c8,661$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.31944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No53c8,453$4,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.156235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes74c8,200$6,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,068.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes74c7,982$5,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,906.43525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes73c7,535$5,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,524.96746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes67c7,500$5,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,025837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No25c7,315$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,486.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No26c7,138$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,281.822941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes73c7,003$5,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,112.0512050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0785…6450backed Yes75c6,976$5,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,231.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes48c6,529$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.3921950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes74c6,229$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No36c6,061$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.5492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes64c6,060$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,890.243732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No35c5,981$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,887.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No31c5,810$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,020.393145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Yes57c5,457$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes55c5,338$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.391,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes75c5,253$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9402263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No27c5,211$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.241050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes74c5,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7005050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.948254.9%45 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed No26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff52…8ccfbacked Yes74c4,922$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed9…6546backed No25c4,876$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No27c4,688$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.421369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb318…67bdbacked No25c4,661$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,495.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+171.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6355…9b32backed No25c4,528$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+59.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes75c4,498$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,373.575440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7079…da28backed Yes66c4,457$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes73c4,434$3,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,236.8550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No27c4,112$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.512740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes67c4,107$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.524035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes74c4,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.953537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes74c3,991$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.22850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Yes74c3,987$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Yes74c3,982$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.381457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes70c3,955$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.223562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes75c3,940$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9553857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes46c3,870$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.381225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes66c3,843$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.412623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes51c3,784$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No34c3,627$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.968143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes70c3,492$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.281233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c3,474$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.6990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes37c3,452$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.2210948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes69c3,440$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.771346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d25…835ebacked Yes75c3,413$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked Yes58c3,403$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.381250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Yes75c3,349$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.75366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No25c3,338$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.575749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes74c3,193$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.