TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeed9…6546

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.93
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.37
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$244.74
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$201.84
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$128.83
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.13
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.44
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150%+$20.14
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$14.65
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,248.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$91.54
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)backed North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.68
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$16.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80.68
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$106.77
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.48
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$3,656.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+54%+$41.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$6.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.