NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c2ed119108cb544dd32c4838906507fb5a829ef3c97af3c08b70d3f2a0a3576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,258,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,258,309 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,751 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Jazz | 29c | 172,413$49,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,413.93 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 66c | 155,675$102,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,458.01 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Jazz | 45c | 101,709$45,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,917.03 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Jazz | 29c | 87,932$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,431.66 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Jazz | 29c | 75,000$21,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,249.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jazz | 30c | 66,946$20,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,530 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Warriors | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,799.97 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Warriors | 71c | 57,347$40,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,716.07 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 70c | 55,555$38,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,888.47 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Warriors | 70c | 49,296$34,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,689.29 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 71c | 46,803$33,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,229.83 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 71c | 45,658$32,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,226.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 37c | 33,964$12,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,407.69 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 39c | 33,486$13,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,435.4 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 29c | 32,042$9,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,642.96 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Jazz | 28c | 30,118$8,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,685.7 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 30c | 26,948$8,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,863.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 70c | 26,439$18,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,470.63 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Jazz | 29c | 25,721$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,320.35 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 71c | 25,550$18,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,140.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 72c | 24,076$17,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,239.97 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Warriors | 71c | 22,669$16,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,094.04 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 30c | 21,798$6,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,242.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Jazz | 29c | 20,986$6,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,900.21 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz | 77c | 20,587$15,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.23 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Warriors | 67c | 20,117$13,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,503.44 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Jazz | 29c | 20,000$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100.79 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Jazz | 30c | 18,022$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,617.7 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 65c | 17,760$11,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,543.99 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Warriors | 52c | 16,032$8,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415.27 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Jazz | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500.08 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500.25 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 41c | 14,935$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,188.05 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Warriors | 67c | 14,340$9,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,607.6 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Warriors | 71c | 14,085$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…1745backed Jazz | 69c | 13,010$8,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.63 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 48c | 12,831$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,731 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz | 74c | 12,695$9,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.31 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Jazz | 29c | 12,667$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,993.92 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…a603backed Jazz | 45c | 12,527$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,853.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Warriors | 69c | 12,501$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.93 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Warriors | 67c | 11,800$7,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,906 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…c0dcbacked Jazz | 33c | 11,800$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,905.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Jazz | 79c | 11,661$9,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.21 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 3c | 11,280$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 29c | 11,211$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,959.88 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jazz | 29c | 10,943$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,742.52 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…da63backed Jazz | 27c | 10,836$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,910.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Jazz | 79c | 10,788$8,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.04 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 29c | 10,276$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,289.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Jazz | 31c | 10,166$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.12 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…23dcbacked Warriors | 73c | 9,997$7,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 41c | 9,669$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,667.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Jazz | 33c | 9,663$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.03 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 68c | 9,583$6,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Jazz | 34c | 9,130$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,042.71 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 28c | 8,954$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 26c | 8,698$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.85 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz | 50c | 8,329$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jazz | 29c | 8,301$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.92 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Warriors | 45c | 8,197$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.25 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Jazz | 31c | 8,150$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.03 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Warriors | 71c | 8,001$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…389ebacked Jazz | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Jazz | 29c | 7,976$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 38c | 7,833$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.63 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…d5b8backed Jazz | 33c | 7,700$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Jazz | 51c | 7,589$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.89 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Warriors | 71c | 7,589$5,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,382 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 38c | 7,425$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Warriors | 64c | 7,104$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.41 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 71c | 7,000$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…4c19backed Jazz | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.87 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Warriors | 71c | 6,831$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.32 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Jazz | 33c | 6,801$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556.59 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Warriors | 67c | 6,800$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.98 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Jazz | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.66 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Warriors | 32c | 6,732$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…9291backed Jazz | 67c | 6,716$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Warriors | 71c | 6,620$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9d…a903backed Warriors | 67c | 6,600$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…ad2bbacked Warriors | 67c | 6,500$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Warriors | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.82 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e1…15dbbacked Jazz | 33c | 5,900$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Warriors | 66c | 5,840$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.37 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 38c | 5,809$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.93 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…2113backed Jazz | 31c | 5,700$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Jazz | 36c | 5,590$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.24 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 42c | 5,555$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.07 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 38c | 5,246$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.75 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Warriors | 25c | 5,200$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Jazz | 29c | 5,040$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Jazz | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.16 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Jazz | 29c | 5,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.46 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jazz | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Warriors | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.99 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Jazz | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.98 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Jazzthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.