NBA · resolved market
Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11a1d778900d00b7d6ce94563c7be30a006eae10ab2c81060b7369d6a69d2540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,031 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 49c | 2,546$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.36 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 75c | 2,394$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.88 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 51c | 1,556$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.88 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 52c | 942$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.16 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…f513backed Yes | 27c | 854.92$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 51c | 757$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.74 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 591.19$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Yes | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…cc63backed Yes | 25c | 532$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…6069backed Yes | 20c | 494.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd1…5792backed Yes | 24c | 416.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085f…c87cbacked Yes | 24c | 408.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 67c | 404.49$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Yes | 52c | 381.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 51c | 361$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…c4b8backed Yes | 28c | 353.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed No | 51c | 235.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a9…c541backed Yes | 27c | 222.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 456 | 57%260 W · 196 L | +44.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 50c | 137.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked No | 51c | 137.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…0673backed Yes | 25c | 135$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…f3b8backed Yes | 34c | 102.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…8cfdbacked Yes | 42c | 95.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 47c | 93.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…247bbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…ae9ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…6006backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 58c | 55.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…65ecbacked Yes | 34c | 49.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 66c | 49.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Yes | 43c | 31.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked No | 51c | 24.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked No | 68c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 49c | 20.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 65c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.