TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,170 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under55c9,509$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.9543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under53c5,148$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.1721250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c4,579$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.951,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6318842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked Over46c3,215$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c2,661$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over47c2,290$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over45c2,196$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.5617850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over50c1,803$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.389742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over46c1,739$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.2328554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c1,327$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50015650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under55c916.14$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0946632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c843.36$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c831.65$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3331551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.99$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c786$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3931,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c781$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over45c642.22$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.222231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Under46c559.49$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.016746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under58c517.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over43c509.49$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6716139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2657153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c423$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under54c345.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4615752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c298.26$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c287.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.62,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over55c232.31$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10061747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over51c196.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3617148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd212…f0f4backed Over44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c164.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c162.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.162,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under51c120.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3224247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over49c117.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2146447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.272,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c112.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over48c112.25$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3736045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1132654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Over50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over46c106.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4523349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c105.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5225846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5530641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over44c99.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7540541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under50c95.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.699242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Under52c90.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.167439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under55c89.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.641,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c82.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c74.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Over64c71.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.499051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x353f…bdd4backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over52c57.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7931955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c55.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over58c54.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0953839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Over54c52.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.158342.2%35 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c48.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee82…1965backed Over53c47.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.36665.2%43 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over46c47.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2214471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445267.3%35 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9924150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0866…f953backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.523350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under54c38.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8935843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc891…cf27backed Over51c36.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.796053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed Over46c32.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1587950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under37c29.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8610623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c29.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c27.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.622,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4c…afcebacked Under55c26.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.383852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2770…5c90backed Over45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0951…9ae5backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7225…9c44backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.