NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf916153e9673deb276e2a500304b557db908f1b91d31d8d0ccdc654dae0991b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,170 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 55c | 9,509$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.95 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 53c | 5,148$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.17 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 4,579$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.95 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Over | 46c | 3,215$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 2,661$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 47c | 2,290$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.7 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 45c | 2,196$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.56 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 50c | 1,803$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.38 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.23 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,327$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 916.14$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.51 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 843.36$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 831.65$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 786$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 781$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over | 45c | 642.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Under | 46c | 559.49$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 58c | 517.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 43c | 509.49$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 423$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 54c | 345.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 298.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 287.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 55c | 232.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 51c | 196.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…f0f4backed Over | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 164.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 162.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 51c | 120.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 117.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 112.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 48c | 112.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 105.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 44c | 99.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 50c | 95.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 52c | 90.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 89.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 82.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 74.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Over | 64c | 71.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 55.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 58c | 54.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Over | 54c | 52.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 45c | 48.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Over | 53c | 47.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 46c | 47.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…f953backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 54c | 38.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…cf27backed Over | 51c | 36.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Over | 46c | 32.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 37c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 29.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 27.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Under | 55c | 26.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2770…5c90backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0951…9ae5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…9c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.