NBA · resolved market
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b6e822ea778c718828446fa24b659011af53d339b5dc64ae0102f8e36fb90b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,828 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 61c | 3,001$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.17 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 74c | 1,412$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.1 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0b…b446backed Yes | 24c | 1,340$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…f513backed Yes | 40c | 1,063$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…f56cbacked Yes | 40c | 835$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 816$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.05 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085f…c87cbacked Yes | 24c | 658.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…6eadbacked Yes | 28c | 531.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…4f23backed Yes | 24c | 433.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked No | 67c | 398.68$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 56c | 379.71$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 334.91$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 61c | 276.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 48c | 261.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…eac5backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 51c | 255.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 456 | 57%260 W · 196 L | +44.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…a79abacked Yes | 44c | 252.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Yes | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 65c | 206.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 62c | 203.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b0…8da1backed Yes | 24c | 203$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043f…ca25backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…4786backed Yes | 38c | 156.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 40c | 149.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…9374backed Yes | 24c | 125.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…0ce8backed Yes | 28c | 113.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…6f28backed Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Yes | 39c | 92.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 74c | 88.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…247bbacked Yes | 32c | 76.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ba18backed Yes | 42c | 75.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…c273backed Yes | 40c | 74.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 32c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2782…f029backed Yes | 23c | 63.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…7c59backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 64c | 50.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 59c | 30.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Yes | 34c | 29.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…32dcbacked No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.