NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7460d63d5120d19c50ac575bc1e2c429803b6be8150d16ffd65876bed1b97b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,617 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Over | 51c | 93,602$47,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,933.48 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 70,830$34,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,654.16 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 51c | 56,001$28,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,492.17 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 50c | 25,545$12,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,772.56 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 21,912$10,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,943.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 50c | 13,886$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,956.14 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…7fa9backed Over | 47c | 11,818$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,252.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 10,638$5,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.39 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 9,871$5,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.76 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 9,136$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,511.98 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 8,210$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.94 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde9…f6e1backed Over | 49c | 8,203$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 8,136$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.14 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,897$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 6,782$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 48c | 5,365$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.95 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 47c | 5,128$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.64 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,729$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…444fbacked Over | 48c | 4,254$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 4,224$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.46 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 52c | 3,946$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.88 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 3,774$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.92 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 47c | 2,959$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.9 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 2,914$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.17 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 2,690$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.27 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 2,509$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.3 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 47c | 2,447$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 2,319$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.75 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 2,295$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 2,201$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…f2eabacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 51c | 1,715$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.35 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 1,708$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,631$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 1,595$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.86 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,452$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 1,415$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.35 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,336$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,079$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.71 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.05 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 956.26$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.82 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 50c | 930$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 855.83$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 755.75$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 47c | 721.27$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.27 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Over | 58c | 673.15$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 55c | 600.52$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 537.74$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 50c | 523.27$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 507.82$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.01 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 436.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 428.27$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 423.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 52c | 384.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 57c | 378.02$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 346.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 305$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…afacbacked Over | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 53c | 286$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 38c | 260.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 48c | 246.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 39c | 232.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 49c | 230.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 51c | 177.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 169.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 48c | 162.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 52c | 150.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…3f14backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 22c | 148.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 21c | 143.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 48c | 137$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 53c | 120.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 113.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 107.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 16c | 107.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.