NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x759496f755b4895a25196625816811d496636e187722e9ea2bb7ae9759fb62d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,645 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 55c | 54,458$29,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,682.93 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz | 45c | 33,447$15,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,396.07 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Jazz | 46c | 23,785$10,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,843.83 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Warriors | 54c | 22,209$12,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,041.1 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 46c | 20,627$9,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,122.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Jazz | 49c | 17,403$8,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,856.08 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Warriors | 51c | 15,644$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 46c | 14,617$6,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,887.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 47c | 10,134$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Warriors | 54c | 9,260$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 46c | 8,299$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 54c | 8,000$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…7fa9backed Jazz | 46c | 7,800$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 46c | 7,542$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 47c | 6,876$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors | 54c | 6,304$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.17 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 55c | 6,088$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 49c | 6,031$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 45c | 5,536$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 54c | 5,220$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.68 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 51c | 4,999$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.73 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Jazz | 45c | 4,998$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.94 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Warriors | 55c | 4,640$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.88 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 46c | 4,043$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.75 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Warriors | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…f2eabacked Jazz | 46c | 3,913$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Jazz | 45c | 3,813$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.06 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 49c | 3,423$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Warriors | 53c | 3,415$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jazz | 45c | 3,078$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.15 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Warriors | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Warriors | 55c | 2,857$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.24 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 53c | 2,496$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Jazz | 49c | 2,122$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.45 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…b415backed Jazz | 43c | 2,069$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Warriors | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…d15dbacked Warriors | 57c | 1,843$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Jazz | 45c | 1,841$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.4 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 56c | 1,770$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Jazz | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,695$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Jazz | 52c | 1,509$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.71 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Jazz | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Jazz | 45c | 1,375$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…ec06backed Warriors | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Jazz | 45c | 1,098$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.47 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Jazz | 50c | 1,090$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.23 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Jazz | 49c | 1,020$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.12 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Warriors | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…dafdbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Warriors | 52c | 900$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…34b3backed Warriors | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Warriors | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Warriors | 43c | 799.93$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.97 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Warriors | 51c | 785.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…cbf3backed Warriors | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 46c | 754.35$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.16 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Warriors | 53c | 742.17$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.25 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Warriors | 54c | 741.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Jazz | 47c | 634.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.14 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazz | 48c | 625.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz | 77c | 620.18$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Warriors | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Jazz | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Warriors | 41c | 591.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.38 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Warriors | 55c | 572.06$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.63 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 46c | 570.74$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Warriors | 52c | 541.69$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 56c | 462.63$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 49c | 459.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Jazz | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jazz | 47c | 429.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Warriors | 53c | 425$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Jazz | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Jazz | 48c | 409.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.01 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jazz | 78c | 389.05$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jazz | 46c | 386$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Warriors | 52c | 384.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Warriors | 26c | 374.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Jazz | 50c | 373.46$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Warriors | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…94b9backed Warriors | 51c | 345.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Warriors | 38c | 338.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Warriors | 48c | 311$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Jazz | 47c | 310.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Jazz | 46c | 283.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Warriors | 55c | 271.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Warriors | 55c | 270.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Warriors | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Warriors | 56c | 267$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Warriors | 20c | 264$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Warriors | 20c | 262.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.