NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fcaa2af06ddf56231cbbb545bd28b1641489daa2a0c932636fd3d9494033f07

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Warriors, Jazz
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,596 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz	50c	4,748$2,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,374.28	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors	50c	4,624$2,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,311.81	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Warriors	58c	2,752$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.74	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	50c	2,560$1,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	44c	2,444$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.32	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Warriors	48c	1,300$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.97	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Warriors	49c	861.59$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.43	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Warriors	59c	830.24$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.84	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Warriors	57c	713.89$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.92	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Warriors	44c	707.38$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+9.8wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	42c	509.85$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.12	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Jazz	46c	498.37$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.12	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Warriors	59c	450.85$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Jazz	58c	442.43$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.43	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz	43c	407.22$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Warriors	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors	54c	379.06$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.55	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Warriors	46c	375.72$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.62	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Jazz	42c	339.14$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.34	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors	57c	335.47$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.88	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Jazz	43c	326.09$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.87	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Warriors	48c	291.67$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors	60c	289.77$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.67	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz	51c	268.43$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.7	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Warriors	58c	258.96$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Jazz	42c	249.93$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.71	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz	43c	244.19$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.19	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz	42c	239.92$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.15	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	45c	239.15$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.78	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Jazz	58c	234.57$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.71	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Jazz	54c	200$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.53	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Warriors	59c	190.14$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.18	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Warriors	11c	190.13$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.91	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Jazz	45c	183.4$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.97	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Jazz	42c	170$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.6	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz	53c	159.35$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.6	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Warriors	58c	150$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…33acbacked Warriors	54c	141.99$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.01	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Jazz	44c	136.36$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.92	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Warriors	60c	133.88$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.33	179	60.9%109 W · 70 L	+17.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Warriors	54c	130.91$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.18	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Warriors	46c	122.6$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.02	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Warriors	59c	118.64$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Warriors	59c	118.64$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors	19c	101.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Warriors	44c	100.09$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Warriors	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jazz	46c	99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.46	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Warriors	55c	99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.45	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors	49c	91.14$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Warriors	59c	90$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Jazz	42c	85$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.3	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors	49c	83.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Jazz	60c	83.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.42	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Warriors	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Jazz	52c	70.07$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.53	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Warriors	49c	61.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Jazz	43c	54.93$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.18	192	45.3%87 W · 105 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Warriors	49c	51.12$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Warriors	47c	50.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jazz	43c	50.76$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.96	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x665c…ee58backed Warriors	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Jazz	48c	49.01$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.44	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Jazz	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	134	47%63 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors	59c	46.72$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors	60c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,053	53.5%563 W · 490 L	-15.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Warriors	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz	42c	36.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.07	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa825…255ebacked Jazz	42c	35.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Warriors	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Warriors	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors	57c	34.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Jazz	55c	32.89$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.96	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed Warriors	43c	31.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b41…de3ebacked Jazz	42c	30.93$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Jazz	41c	30.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.05	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Warriors	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	602	67.3%405 W · 197 L	+46.2wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Warriors	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Jazz	41c	29.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.27	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Jazz	42c	28.57$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.53	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Warriors	45c	26.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Jazz	57c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	243	34.2%83 W · 160 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa92f…58b4backed Warriors	54c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d65…2d2bbacked Jazz	51c	22.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Jazz	74c	22.29$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.81	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1c…1f45backed Warriors	54c	21.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Jazz	47c	21.28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Warriors	57c	21.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Warriors	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Warriors	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Warriors	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	267	57.3%153 W · 114 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Warriors	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Jazz	79c	18.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.82	163	69.9%114 W · 49 L	+18.6wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5Over won
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event