TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,927 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under48c121,098$58,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,127.0343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c88,825$43,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,736.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Over52c77,396$40,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,150.133847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c67,811$34,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,227.2232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c27,400$13,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,700.129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under47c18,271$8,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,587.1929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Under44c17,820$7,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840.6830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over54c14,997$8,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,908.061,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c14,016$7,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,704.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over56c8,742$4,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.558853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c8,600$4,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,385.9921653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c7,631$4,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c7,190$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c6,653$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.042,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c5,174$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.564,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over51c4,399$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.7515844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over50c3,944$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.91,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c2,500$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under47c2,122$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.441,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under44c1,590$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.0516139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c1,553$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.6814448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Over53c1,490$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.117041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under47c1,070$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.918345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40014456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked Over53c796.4$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c758.24$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over54c689.33$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9424147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0230641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked Over53c528.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.514346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c500$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under50c489.09$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5516148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c480.54$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Over53c465.11$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.67646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over49c438.16$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4617850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Over52c430.23$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.094557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c425.3$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.93,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdad…f369backed Over51c411.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Over52c384$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3212046.7%56 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf151…24c7backed Over54c374.86$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5a…60febacked Over53c367.92$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over54c341.46$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4814054.3%76 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c329$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over50c328$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13235444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over51c250.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9826745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5218…48d9backed Over53c248.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.582653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b2…a5f1backed Over53c232.19$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.131947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624e…e95cbacked Over53c228.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.581968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over50c228$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11421843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Under38c224.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.046746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.223047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c209.11$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.343,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c208.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Under56c199.55$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x592a…7f8bbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80bd…1f70backed Over53c170.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.022951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9001…5eadbacked Over60c167.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under30c161.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…4c18backed Under50c160.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under47c149.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7814046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over65c136.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over57c129.32$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5910270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c125.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.673,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over57c115.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over59c113.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1427462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3557…4596backed Over52c96.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.255768.4%39 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94b6…5f6ebacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b2…03acbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fa…5e4dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over54c93.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3952246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over53c92.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.623349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c89.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over50c87.45$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7238750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf2…89d1backed Over53c85.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under46c82.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0115752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.424442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under44c79.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Over53c78.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0912752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c77.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1357…0571backed Over53c73.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under20c72.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over56c70.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8745445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7130…02efbacked Over53c62.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c60.77$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.063,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over54c60.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.926344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x937d…d081backed Over53c59.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over56c58.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.566553.8%35 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over52c54.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8834248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over56c53.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6733159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0538464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3c…07ccbacked Over53c49.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.