NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01f4928c65d104378070931963f173a8c3b2331e9ca97b330a8cca2bbe11b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,927 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 48c | 121,098$58,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,127.03 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 88,825$43,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,736.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Over | 52c | 77,396$40,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,150.13 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 67,811$34,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,227.22 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 27,400$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,700.1 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 47c | 18,271$8,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,587.19 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 44c | 17,820$7,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840.68 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 54c | 14,997$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.06 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 14,016$7,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,704.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 56c | 8,742$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.55 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 8,600$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.99 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 7,631$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 7,190$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 6,653$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.04 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 5,174$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 51c | 4,399$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.75 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 50c | 3,944$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.9 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 2,122$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.44 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 44c | 1,590$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.05 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 1,553$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.68 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Over | 53c | 1,490$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.1 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Over | 53c | 796.4$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 758.24$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 54c | 689.33$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.94 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.02 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 53c | 528.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.51 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 500$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 50c | 489.09$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 480.54$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Over | 53c | 465.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.6 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 49c | 438.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Over | 52c | 430.23$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 425.3$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…f369backed Over | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Over | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Over | 54c | 374.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…60febacked Over | 53c | 367.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 54c | 341.46$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 329$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 50c | 328$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 51c | 250.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Over | 53c | 248.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…a5f1backed Over | 53c | 232.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…e95cbacked Over | 53c | 228.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 50c | 228$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Under | 38c | 224.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 209.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 208.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Under | 56c | 199.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…7f8bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…1f70backed Over | 53c | 170.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…5eadbacked Over | 60c | 167.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 30c | 161.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Under | 50c | 160.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 47c | 149.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 65c | 136.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 57c | 129.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 125.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 57c | 115.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over | 59c | 113.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…4596backed Over | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b6…5f6ebacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fa…5e4dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 54c | 93.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 89.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 50c | 87.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…89d1backed Over | 53c | 85.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 46c | 82.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 44c | 79.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Over | 53c | 78.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 77.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…0571backed Over | 53c | 73.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 20c | 72.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 56c | 70.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…02efbacked Over | 53c | 62.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 60.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 54c | 60.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…d081backed Over | 53c | 59.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Over | 56c | 58.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 52c | 54.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 56c | 53.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3c…07ccbacked Over | 53c | 49.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Jazz won
- Warriors vs. JazzJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.