TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7130…02ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+86%+$12.89
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.52
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.34
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$78.28
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$32.42
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$43.24
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.35
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$23.31
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+87%+$19.54
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.14
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$9.23
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$9.34
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.24
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.75
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+83.5%+$18.36
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+76.6%+$10.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.79
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.6%+$28.61
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.8%+$23.71
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs magic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.4%+$24.42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+34.5%+$23.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+59.7%+$8.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-63.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.