Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe72dda857afac21a7df6f756a67f17e5b0c5fab0cfe6a16b91f7e37bc76c7703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iga Swiatekof Karolina Muchova, Iga Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,561 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 24,964$15,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,088.1 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Karolina Muchova | 5c | 17,001$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.44 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Karolina Muchova | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Karolina Muchova | 16c | 14,291$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.36 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Iga Swiatek | 63c | 11,888$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.49 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 10,618$8,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.46 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 10,275$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.69 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 8,034$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.72 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Iga Swiatek | 65c | 7,696$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.09 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Karolina Muchova | 1c | 7,591$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Iga Swiatek | 64c | 5,353$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.48 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karolina Muchova | 34c | 5,285$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.69 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Karolina Muchova | 34c | 4,967$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.68 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Iga Swiatek | 65c | 4,588$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.18 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 4,115$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.03 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Karolina Muchova | 2c | 4,025$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Karolina Muchova | 35c | 3,486$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.03 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…971cbacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 3,108$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iga Swiatek | 79c | 3,055$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…c2f7backed Karolina Muchova | 4c | 3,041$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 2,784$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Karolina Muchova | 36c | 2,206$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.33 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Iga Swiatek | 69c | 2,064$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Karolina Muchova | 37c | 1,883$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.71 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Karolina Muchova | 35c | 1,866$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.95 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 1,734$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.4 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 1,610$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.7 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Iga Swiatek | 64c | 1,559$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.87 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Karolina Muchova | 1c | 1,529$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.05 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Iga Swiatek | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.8 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Karolina Muchova | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Karolina Muchova | 36c | 1,400$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Iga Swiatek | 64c | 1,399$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.37 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Karolina Muchova | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Karolina Muchova | 36c | 1,202$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.54 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…08edbacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 1,192$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Karolina Muchova | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Iga Swiatek | 66c | 1,000$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Iga Swiatek | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Iga Swiatek | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 975.74$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.96 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Iga Swiatek | 65c | 901.54$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 800$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Karolina Muchova | 36c | 799.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 799.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Iga Swiatek | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Karolina Muchova | 36c | 761.64$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.55 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 749.2$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.71 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Karolina Muchova | 35c | 678.11$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.23 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 668.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.84 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iga Swiatek | 68c | 547.39$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 543$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Karolina Muchova | 35c | 522.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.69 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 493$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 492.35$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 486$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Karolina Muchova | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…0d6cbacked Karolina Muchova | 3c | 450.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…2378backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 440$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 401.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 398.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Karolina Muchova | 16c | 354.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Karolina Muchova | 40c | 351.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 343.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…8f72backed Iga Swiatek | 64c | 340$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Iga Swiatek | 63c | 327$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Iga Swiatek | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Iga Swiatek | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Iga Swiatek | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Iga Swiatek | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Iga Swiatek | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 307.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Iga Swiatek | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Karolina Muchova | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Karolina Muchova | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 276.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Iga Swiatek | 73c | 274.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…b5fdbacked Karolina Muchova | 37c | 270.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Karolina Muchova | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Iga Swiatek | 67c | 266$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Iga Swiatek | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Karolina Muchova | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Karolina Muchova | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 249.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Iga Swiatek | 64c | 246.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Karolina Muchova | 36c | 242.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Iga Swiatek | 76c | 242$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Iga Swiatek | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Karolina Muchova | 31c | 232.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Karolina Muchova | 22c | 229.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Karolina Muchova | 37c | 226.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Karolina Muchova | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Karolina Muchova | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Iga Swiatek | 71c | 209.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatekthis page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs SwiatekSwiatek won
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Muchova (+1.5)Swiatek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.