Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x097a53834f08b388f2557ed2b161848e8a2881c9da10d3365c985e6856b73991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 36c | 35,312$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 23,031$15,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,847.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed OG | 34c | 20,073$6,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,821.93 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 12,615$8,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.47 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed OG | 36c | 12,222$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.92 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 34c | 11,599$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.72 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 10,737$6,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.3 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed OG | 33c | 6,644$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.39 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 6,453$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.84 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 36c | 6,423$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.28 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 6,317$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.53 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 5,678$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.55 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 58c | 5,671$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.8 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 40c | 5,531$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.65 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 5,515$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.72 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 5,150$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.91 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 31c | 5,113$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.09 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 4,148$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.28 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 3,733$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 37c | 3,567$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.09 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 3,204$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked OG | 34c | 3,038$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.13 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 2c | 2,832$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,816$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.24 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 2,739$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.94 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…c85fbacked OG | 21c | 2,658$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 28c | 2,517$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.87 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 2,424$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.8 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…04d9backed OG | 45c | 2,175$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 34c | 2,099$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.69 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…0c8abacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,072$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed OG | 54c | 2,058$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.93 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed OG | 46c | 2,012$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…6cdbbacked OG | 44c | 2,011$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…6774backed OG | 41c | 1,994$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.68 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,984$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.82 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 60c | 1,926$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.19 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,895$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.55 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,862$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.94 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,659$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.75 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,654$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.4 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 36c | 1,600$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,554$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.18 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 37c | 1,525$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.42 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed OG | 32c | 1,500$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.1 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed OG | 29c | 1,500$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.31 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.53 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,472$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.72 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,459$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.47 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,430$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.01 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 41c | 1,420$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.74 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,394$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.13 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,346$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.91 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed OG | 61c | 1,339$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.14 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…42debacked OG | 64c | 1,339$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…f873backed OG | 36c | 1,273$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 37c | 1,259$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.95 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,255$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.38 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,220$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 46c | 1,144$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…4f83backed OG | 44c | 1,129$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed OG | 38c | 1,119$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.65 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked OG | 45c | 1,116$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.01 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…80edbacked OG | 6c | 1,077$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked OG | 47c | 1,061$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,044$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.29 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,033$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.03 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed OG | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 979.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.17 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked OG | 53c | 969.99$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.09 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 963.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed OG | 52c | 963.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 955.11$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.39 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 952.95$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.34 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…f993backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 938$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 882.74$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 878.05$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.05 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…54b3backed OG | 35c | 877$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked OG | 51c | 876.25$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.02 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed OG | 45c | 860.76$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.81 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed OG | 35c | 848.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed OG | 33c | 827.87$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed OG | 58c | 816.54$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.39 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 809.15$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.22 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 797$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.34 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 780$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…4984backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 774$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked OG | 32c | 762.07$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked OG | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 747.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.