Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa1806d4acf422497b19813ef93a3f05f19f1134bf0848c6bdf3f87341ea6919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Tundra Esports, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,052 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 37c | 22,910$8,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,325 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 13,642$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,131.17 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 8,278$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.47 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed OG | 36c | 6,800$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.89 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed OG | 43c | 5,216$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.75 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 5,073$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.97 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 4,612$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 3,688$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.78 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed OG | 58c | 2,932$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.68 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 2,671$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.3 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed OG | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked OG | 43c | 2,089$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.1 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed OG | 47c | 2,055$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.24 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,973$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.92 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed OG | 66c | 1,646$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.31 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked OG | 50c | 1,471$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.69 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed OG | 23c | 1,247$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.7 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 31c | 1,230$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.8 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,225$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.97 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 43c | 1,057$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.42 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed OG | 57c | 1,046$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.82 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,000$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.54 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 981.74$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.37 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed OG | 15c | 975.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.04 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 971.71$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 36c | 850$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.12 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed OG | 47c | 822.24$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.47 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 8c | 766.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 722.81$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.81 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 709.63$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.47 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 701.08$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.35 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 691.63$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.23 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed OG | 45c | 688.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed OG | 51c | 647.06$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.43 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…395ebacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 640.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 628.3$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed OG | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.09 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed OG | 50c | 579.06$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.91 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 536.75$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.93 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 53c | 528.21$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.21 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 500$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.87 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked OG | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked OG | 48c | 488$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 487.11$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.28 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked OG | 39c | 485$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 485$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 478.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 51c | 469.11$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…6eccbacked Tundra Esports | 31c | 450.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed OG | 44c | 449.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked OG | 23c | 436.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.05 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed OG | 18c | 391.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 389.76$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed OG | 23c | 369$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.83 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 367.65$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 366.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed OG | 20c | 340$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked OG | 41c | 319$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 290$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 289.75$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 42c | 286.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 37c | 280.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 43c | 272.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 269.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed OG | 75c | 267.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 261.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed OG | 39c | 257.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.31 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 240$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 44c | 239.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 44c | 237.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked OG | 43c | 230$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed OG | 59c | 227.16$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed OG | 45c | 224.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 13c | 220.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed OG | 39c | 220$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 60c | 219.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 218.51$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 208.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 9c | 205.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.42 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 204.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 201.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed OG | 59c | 199.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 193.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 187$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 186.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…44dcbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 176.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed OG | 67c | 176.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed OG | 76c | 175.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 169.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed OG | 36c | 165.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 163.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.