Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac05da46ed81063d9b286df0af34fc8bd8bb93350eb01d7dcedd886f4217e6fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,561 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 40c | 16,253$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 6,175$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.08 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed OG | 44c | 6,130$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 4,774$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed OG | 45c | 4,322$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.27 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 49c | 4,257$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.7 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed OG | 41c | 3,683$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.76 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 3,625$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.39 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked OG | 39c | 3,468$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.69 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 3,235$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.2 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 3,101$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.38 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed OG | 45c | 3,074$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.26 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 2,928$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.83 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed OG | 47c | 2,749$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed OG | 35c | 2,197$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.52 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,133$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.86 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 2,005$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.7 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed OG | 13c | 1,800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 40c | 1,715$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,593$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.76 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked OG | 34c | 1,588$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.4 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,558$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.62 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,529$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.17 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,382$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.92 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,333$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.01 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed OG | 34c | 1,174$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,173$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.13 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 47c | 1,002$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.31 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 957.65$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.65 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 950$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 927.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 818.78$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.23 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…8e3bbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 806.6$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 770$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.06 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 702.62$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 635.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 633.21$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.69 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 625.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.73 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 609.84$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.84 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed OG | 34c | 579.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 562.88$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked OG | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 523.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…6eccbacked OG | 37c | 508.11$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked OG | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 47c | 487.34$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 484.23$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 468$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 439.87$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 38c | 437.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…ef2bbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 418.82$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed OG | 7c | 401.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 400.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed OG | 6c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed OG | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 54c | 399.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked OG | 40c | 374.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…6cdbbacked OG | 40c | 371.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 366.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 37c | 364.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked OG | 12c | 349.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 322.05$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed OG | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 287.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 57c | 284.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed OG | 38c | 249.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked OG | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed OG | 33c | 236.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked OG | 26c | 204.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked OG | 24c | 202.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed OG | 53c | 202.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed OG | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed OG | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed OG | 26c | 199.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 186.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed OG | 36c | 185.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed OG | 35c | 181.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 166.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…5473backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed OG | 50c | 157.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed OG | 33c | 149.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…80edbacked OG | 11c | 145.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 144.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.