TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,561 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed OG40c16,253$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Tundra Esports60c6,175$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.0811854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed OG44c6,130$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.382035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00022954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports53c4,774$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22753451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed OG45c4,322$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.2712156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked OG49c4,257$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.71,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed OG41c3,683$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.7651751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports60c3,625$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.3955751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked OG39c3,468$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.699145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports51c3,235$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.220159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Tundra Esports64c3,101$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.383855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed OG45c3,074$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.2633041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports75c2,928$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.8318661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed OG47c2,749$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.361020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed OG35c2,197$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.5222643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports57c2,133$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.861,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked Tundra Esports66c2,005$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.76150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed OG13c1,800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23224251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed OG40c1,715$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.61,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports66c1,593$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.7679959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked OG34c1,588$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.438049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports61c1,558$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Tundra Esports61c1,529$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.174932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Tundra Esports68c1,382$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.928655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports62c1,333$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.0171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed OG34c1,174$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports59c1,173$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1336041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed OG47c1,002$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.3166662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports63c957.65$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6520156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports64c950$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports54c927.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7838653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9321346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.674654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports60c818.78$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2346649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9735…8e3bbacked Tundra Esports77c806.6$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked OG46c799.99$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36860646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Tundra Esports61c770$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.069544.2%42 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports46c702.62$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.642,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Tundra Esports56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3082962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Tundra Esports63c635.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5615064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports65c633.21$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.698258.5%48 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports48c625.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7325457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Tundra Esports57c609.84$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8410456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Tundra Esports64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a2…5bc1backed OG34c579.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.912638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Tundra Esports56c562.88$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.479837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee0…f8f9backed Tundra Esports60c550$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…0efcbacked OG39c550$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Tundra Esports57c523.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.061631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38ba…6eccbacked OG37c508.11$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed Tundra Esports61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31e6…a23ebacked OG39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.71963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed OG40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed OG47c487.34$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2271,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports56c484.23$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.592,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Tundra Esports54c468$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2837047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports63c439.87$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7532854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG38c437.51$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2589440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4533…ef2bbacked Tundra Esports68c418.82$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.822050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed OG7c401.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8131245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Tundra Esports61c400.16$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0618065.6%118 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb74c…b149backed OG6c400$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7450%0 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed OG47c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.319664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12818362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked OG54c399.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked OG40c374.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6878…6cdbbacked OG40c371.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.611942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports63c366.33$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2748954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG37c364.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0460542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked OG12c349.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.537018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports68c322.05$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0611043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Tundra Esports61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11715643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG10c300$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3137811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed OG34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10264149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tundra Esports65c287.99$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2391553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked OG57c284.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3477458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed OG38c249.18$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7410134.7%35 W · 66 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked OG46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed OG33c236.27$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.524841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5d3fbacked OG26c204.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.829430.9%29 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked OG24c202.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6237754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed OG53c202.04$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10833645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed OG50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…f092backed OG50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Tundra Esports48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0173743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports55c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.363032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed OG26c199.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.995942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports67c186.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.571,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x772c…3539backed OG36c185.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed OG35c181.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.922450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Tundra Esports61c166.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0957455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba0…5473backed Tundra Esports61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed OG50c157.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0157654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports59c150$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.580742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed OG33c149.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2572035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce2…80edbacked OG11c145.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-20.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports77c144.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1535370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.