Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c535f8c7dfa54078bf8d1d907ed3f4cbeeee8695746b086f3d9f25326a2d22a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,676 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 64c | 23,423$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 18,750$6,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000.65 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 17,993$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,701.65 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Team Falcons | 65c | 13,690$8,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,872.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 23c | 10,910$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,448.56 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 10,265$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.19 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 80c | 10,054$8,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,042.89 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 8,358$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Team Falcons | 64c | 7,967$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Falcons | 65c | 6,392$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.55 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Falcons | 66c | 6,297$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.2 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 6,000$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.58 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 5,424$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.78 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 5,352$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.3 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 5,262$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.6 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 4,984$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.87 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 65c | 4,592$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 4,508$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons | 8c | 4,200$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.43 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 3,936$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.81 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 3,655$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.97 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,615$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.18 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,519$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.36 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,296$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.16 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 3,078$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 3,056$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.63 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,016$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.68 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…9562backed Team Falcons | 79c | 2,879$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 2,730$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,595$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.45 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 2,550$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.84 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 2,490$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.42 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,453$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.49 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,326$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.97 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,299$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.75 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 2,199$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.37 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,080$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.58 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 2,060$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,030$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.43 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 1,986$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.15 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,891$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.46 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,890$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.14 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,839$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,744$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,740$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.53 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,716$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.13 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,713$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…6774backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,704$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,683$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.93 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,571$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,538$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.17 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,512$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.53 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,415$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.04 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 1,301$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,297$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,174$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.8 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 1,156$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.04 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,115$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.75 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 1,100$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,100$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,095$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.74 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,092$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.22 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,063$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…6cdbbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,060$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,053$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.72 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,052$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.46 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 1,041$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.64 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,029$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…334dbacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 1,000$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons | 64c | 954.24$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.25 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 938.1$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.14 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Vici Gaming | 20c | 925.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.13 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 923.16$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.59 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…91a1backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 899.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 890$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.53 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 883.86$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.99 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…42debacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 876.55$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 797.75$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.75 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 63c | 795.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 788.84$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.75 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Falcons | 63c | 788.51$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Falcons | 5c | 787.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 763.1$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 753.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Falcons | 66c | 753.89$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.57 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 60c | 726.14$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.43 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 712$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.76 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 67c | 695.04$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.68 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…94e9backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 681$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Team Falcons | 29c | 678.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 670.05$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.86 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 663.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.35 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 659.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 649.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 630.16$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.4 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.