Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b8c50d9196821e2793fbbf3a7c5daf1c9943c4885de004b045a1546c0ed0aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vici Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,761 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 22,825$14,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,702.89 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 10,159$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,116.01 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 63c | 9,393$5,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.05 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 8,699$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.99 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 6,139$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.18 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 6,000$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Falcons | 80c | 3,838$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.41 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 3,146$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,401$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.68 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,956$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 1,953$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.04 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,848$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.9 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,743$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.31 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,277$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.51 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked Vici Gaming | 6c | 1,153$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Vici Gaming | 12c | 964.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 956.29$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.33 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Falcons | 48c | 949.71$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.71 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…ee69backed Vici Gaming | 7c | 830.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 828.81$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.15 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 827.64$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 58c | 755.85$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.37 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 722.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 659.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 656.95$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 653.23$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.62 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 620.46$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 584.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 577.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 574.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 531.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Vici Gaming | 3c | 499.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…5079backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 492.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 487.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 484.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 479.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 478.27$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.83 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 460$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed Team Falcons | 61c | 460$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Team Falcons | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 450$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Falcons | 47c | 438.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.01 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 436.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.89 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 404.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 363.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons | 65c | 352$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 342.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 320$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 313.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 296.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 290.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Team Falcons | 64c | 282.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 234.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 52c | 218$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 202.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Vici Gaming | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 18c | 195.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 173.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 172.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Team Falcons | 58c | 172.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 169.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Vici Gaming | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…ab22backed Team Falcons | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 158.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 156.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 151.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 149.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 145.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 144.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 143.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Falcons | 65c | 140.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 138.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 133.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Vici Gaming | 12c | 122.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Team Falcons | 61c | 113.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Falcons | 66c | 109.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 107.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 105.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…ba12backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 103.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 101.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Team Falcons | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.