Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e084c663dcc9f03ca932d44201b5d6972b8fe2e5899f35ee3c301b0f3b5c5b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof Natus Vincere, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 38,819$14,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,521.03 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 18,814$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.96 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 16,149$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.53 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 15,427$6,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,208.85 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 7,087$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.08 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…fbafbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 6,355$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 6,198$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.5 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 5,798$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 5,401$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.62 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 5,153$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.26 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 4,510$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.4 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked BetBoom Team | 63c | 4,420$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.84 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 4,286$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.01 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 4,150$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.93 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 3,771$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.33 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 3,750$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 3,564$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.66 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 3,207$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 3,044$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,037$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.83 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 2,961$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.85 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 2,899$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.43 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 2,853$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.31 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,517$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.29 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 2,200$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,968$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.76 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,699$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.51 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…5a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 1,586$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team | 61c | 1,547$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.51 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 1,501$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.1 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,493$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,418$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,323$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,260$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 1,009$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.55 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked BetBoom Team | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 899.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 807.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 739.71$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 689$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 681.59$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked BetBoom Team | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 616.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 540.32$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 528.45$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 515.5$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 457.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 449.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 402.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 401.56$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked BetBoom Team | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 399.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed BetBoom Team | 61c | 393.91$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 385.14$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…ef2bbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 375.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 369.73$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 341.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 333.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 322.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 321.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 319.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe992…8271backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 298$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 292.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…025abacked BetBoom Team | 63c | 290.79$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 271.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 261.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 257.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746c…50debacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 246.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 240$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 231.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…e95cbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 230.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 217.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 213.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 210.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 208.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 208.63$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 207.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 206.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 205.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 203.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…bb23backed BetBoom Team | 70c | 198.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 195.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 186.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 175.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.