TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Natus Vincere, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$486,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team60c57,320$34,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,047.7955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Natus Vincere1c50,808$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team58c28,633$16,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,158.9954556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Natus Vincere40c15,465$6,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,186.0411854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere38c12,755$4,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,806.6296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere40c11,690$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.2889440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere40c11,111$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.432854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere33c10,619$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.0333041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7d…fbafbacked Natus Vincere18c10,374$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.171540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9722647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere16c7,425$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.611,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Natus Vincere38c7,039$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.864932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked BetBoom Team60c6,631$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.5853451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere9c6,620$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.0440014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere47c6,243$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.8733746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Natus Vincere29c6,153$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.4112156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere40c4,689$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.8851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96f…b5e5backed Natus Vincere40c4,265$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.074341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere18c3,502$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.992,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed BetBoom Team63c3,347$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.488655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere41c3,345$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.191,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…5a4ebacked BetBoom Team57c3,323$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-70.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere38c2,928$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9377941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked BetBoom Team62c2,906$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.413953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere30c2,653$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.562,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere41c2,562$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.4113045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47541242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Natus Vincere40c2,108$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.6538653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Natus Vincere46c2,035$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9321163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team56c2,013$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.480443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed BetBoom Team60c1,900$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76015345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere43c1,644$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70025549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team71c1,580$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Natus Vincere13c1,504$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Natus Vincere40c1,468$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5875642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4533…ef2bbacked Natus Vincere41c1,466$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere38c1,372$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.311,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere22c1,334$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30051049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Natus Vincere46c1,312$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.618362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9658744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…6cdbbacked Natus Vincere40c1,235$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4681,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere39c1,131$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.585851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere25c1,129$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.936851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed BetBoom Team57c1,102$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.458728.7%25 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed BetBoom Team58c1,027$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.7320156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Natus Vincere36c1,010$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36821346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked BetBoom Team61c996.36$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4716550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere28c962.83$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.652,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Natus Vincere39c933.28$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.982450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere19c900$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17213027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere32c898.89$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2746649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Natus Vincere40c890$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35615653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed BetBoom Team63c793.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9623459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed BetBoom Team58c724.01$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.558845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed BetBoom Team73c718.52$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5246664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30136054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere14c695.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere37c688.45$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6217651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Natus Vincere43c680.55$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29210141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere40c680$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27255251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1c…15f2backed BetBoom Team62c655.98$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.421752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Natus Vincere46c653.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked BetBoom Team60c636$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.49145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed BetBoom Team62c632.59$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.849959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere45c611.85$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7166662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere31c586.85$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8960552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team69c557.38$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.721,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere13c555.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7086451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed BetBoom Team60c555$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed BetBoom Team61c543.21$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3615549%76 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed BetBoom Team71c534.93$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere7c520$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.263032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68c…025abacked Natus Vincere37c509.71$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.51030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed BetBoom Team61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19511346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Natus Vincere36c499.91$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9797142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c57…47aabacked BetBoom Team61c490.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.974544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere41c481.38$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2460349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere40c473.89$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5655751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed BetBoom Team60c463.76$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7614251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere36c444.55$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16045046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked BetBoom Team56c440.53$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2913752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Natus Vincere23c431.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01d4…33d8backed Natus Vincere40c426.14$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011757.3%67 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BetBoom Team73c418.33$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0660646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…e194backed BetBoom Team62c400.4$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.154035%14 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Natus Vincere42c399.82$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9233549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere17c399.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Natus Vincere3c381.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4516821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x746c…50debacked Natus Vincere40c379.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff93…2cf0backed BetBoom Team80c362.06$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere39c349.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked BetBoom Team58c346.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.933855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Natus Vincere38c342.35$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6745951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere24c333.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.750832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere26c332.91$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2272035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.