TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc87d…6f31

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$130.36
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.23
1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.08
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.87
Pacers vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
76ers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$140.78
Knicks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$96.66
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.5
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$202.29
Darius Garland: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$77.01
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.95
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$156.42
1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.47
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$112.1
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$30.86
Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45.95
Spread: Heat (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$107.71
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (W)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$130.59
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45.98
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies (W)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$54.57
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-3.5)backed UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$30.21
Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-1.5)backed SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$37.32
Spread: Boston Terriers (-2.5)backed Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47.88
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.6
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.79
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$130.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SBV Excelsior vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$87.03
Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)backed Aarhus GF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.31
Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$33.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+153.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$34.48
Spread: Philippines (-2.5)backed Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$245.28
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$50.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$40.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$160.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$81.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$112.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.