NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69a427e55a360c9a06da2e0762b9aad347fb6b6b2fc0b79e7d48ae508925404a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Hurricanes, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,987 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 54c | 10,040$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 56c | 734.62$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.23 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Penguins | 55c | 414.3$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 329.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Penguins | 57c | 322.32$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Hurricanes | 45c | 275$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Penguins | 57c | 252.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Hurricanes | 44c | 227.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 227.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…9594backed Hurricanes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 55c | 180.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…3e45backed Hurricanes | 45c | 176$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hurricanes | 44c | 173.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…4fd7backed Hurricanes | 45c | 173$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Penguins | 56c | 165.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Hurricanes | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hurricanes | 45c | 163$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…0c1ebacked Hurricanes | 43c | 157$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…0953backed Hurricanes | 44c | 143.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…8a80backed Hurricanes | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hurricanes | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes | 58c | 115.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 104.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Penguins | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…3072backed Penguins | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Hurricanes | 43c | 83.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…5a75backed Hurricanes | 43c | 80.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Hurricanes | 43c | 79.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Hurricanes | 43c | 79.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…1796backed Penguins | 57c | 70.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b8…d3e9backed Penguins | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…b354backed Penguins | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6c23backed Penguins | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Penguins | 46c | 63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297f…034dbacked Penguins | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Hurricanes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…181dbacked Penguins | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a6…15c0backed Penguins | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Hurricanes | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf4…a582backed Penguins | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8f…3155backed Penguins | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Hurricanes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Hurricanes | 45c | 44.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Hurricanes | 45c | 44.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Penguins | 55c | 40.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…643dbacked Penguins | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Hurricanes | 44c | 34.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Hurricanes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Hurricanes | 73c | 34.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…49e0backed Penguins | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7e…0b15backed Penguins | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…d36cbacked Penguins | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…0cc5backed Penguins | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…78f0backed Penguins | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…7210backed Penguins | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Penguins vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.