TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Penguins, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,553 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Penguins36c101,176$36,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,773.3510840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Hurricanes64c38,518$24,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,866.786147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Penguins35c34,855$12,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,165.5567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Hurricanes54c29,921$16,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,883.5812835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Penguins44c17,289$7,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,683.921,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Hurricanes37c14,064$5,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,854.0312838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Penguins48c11,248$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,401.5619848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hurricanes63c10,201$6,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.3721755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Hurricanes64c9,770$6,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Hurricanes64c9,705$6,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.12536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Penguins63c9,377$5,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,907.4861748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes65c9,076$5,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.581,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Hurricanes63c8,888$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.567949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hurricanes64c8,415$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.418641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes64c8,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hurricanes55c6,733$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.7739344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Penguins46c6,519$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.3285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins35c5,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Hurricanes65c5,385$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.6514654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Penguins1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Penguins35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.7427243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes64c4,732$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.2147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Penguins35c4,116$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.4289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Penguins63c3,889$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4502035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Hurricanes52c3,880$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.747258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes64c3,804$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.992,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hurricanes65c3,777$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.5491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Penguins34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Hurricanes65c3,317$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.9443456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes66c3,050$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.691,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hurricanes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Penguins58c2,966$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.31,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Penguins44c2,797$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.823,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins47c2,663$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.061,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Hurricanes65c2,537$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.938536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Penguins51c2,517$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.18252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Hurricanes64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hurricanes62c2,399$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.471,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Penguins34c2,288$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddec…0015backed Penguins36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Hurricanes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a17…1b84backed Penguins36c1,974$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7103756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…10f1backed Hurricanes65c1,958$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.491258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes65c1,903$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.0261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes63c1,889$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.942,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins48c1,828$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.5236748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Hurricanes66c1,818$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.185453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Hurricanes65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.242548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hurricanes46c1,705$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.7660337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7837…40f1backed Hurricanes65c1,692$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.331533.3%5 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes64c1,656$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.160249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Hurricanes65c1,644$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.577149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Penguins53c1,539$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.622,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Penguins3c1,535$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.371,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Hurricanes46c1,512$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.063562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Hurricanes54c1,504$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.916447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Hurricanes65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hurricanes61c1,449$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968d…6947backed Hurricanes65c1,430$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins45c1,412$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.0995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hurricanes64c1,385$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Penguins33c1,340$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0427448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Hurricanes55c1,328$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.729141.8%38 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins35c1,145$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.632,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins56c1,123$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.271,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hurricanes66c1,108$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3766552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Hurricanes65c1,011$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.814252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hurricanes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hurricanes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Penguins37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704637%17 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Hurricanes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35025555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Hurricanes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Hurricanes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins45c999.99$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.681,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Hurricanes65c984.62$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.624047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Hurricanes65c960$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3311252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hurricanes64c917$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.121,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…c9d9backed Penguins35c830$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Hurricanes46c800$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4304551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked Hurricanes66c737.5$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Penguins24c734.06$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1911833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Hurricanes65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24521147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes63c696.59$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Penguins36c694.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Hurricanes49c663$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.399141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes66c637.71$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Penguins36c625$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.687149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Penguins36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.687354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Penguins9c596.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3637857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Hurricanes65c590.68$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa671…bbc6backed Hurricanes66c571.81$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39b8…5072backed Penguins35c571.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacb…45d7backed Penguins35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins55c554.09$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Penguins23c544.06$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.591,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hurricanes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hurricanes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Penguins2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Penguins53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.