NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b0167115b08b76f398fe4f64e317d214880eff272b4b89d7dac0488e93f026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,318 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pacers | 61c | 606.15$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.09 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Pacers | 43c | 401.13$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Pacers | 50c | 398.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.27 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings | 31c | 350$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Kings | 52c | 249.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Kings | 57c | 177.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Kings | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Pacers | 63c | 143.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Kings | 13c | 109.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 24c | 95.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Kings | 58c | 80.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Kings | 57c | 53.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed Kings | 51c | 39.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Kings | 32c | 31.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. KingsKings won
- Pacers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.