NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe086a265e6c2690c2d581cd6473ab40ca1504f7c04e2baacea7e370104941605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,121 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 55c | 5,474$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 2,958$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 1,624$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.43 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 46c | 903.22$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.61 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 710.92$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 650$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 56c | 531.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 294.01$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 56c | 285$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 243.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 232$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 44c | 228.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 164.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 144.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 104.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 46c | 84.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 79.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 72.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 62.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…98f7backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfad…052ebacked Over | 55c | 52.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 54c | 31.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Under | 46c | 27.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 52c | 25.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 24.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 51c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5this page
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. KingsKings won
- Pacers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.