NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48498b0a0b745d1ab241d8e29172a51e9a4bea3c74a06e08ed26c1459c18b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 49c | 59,828$29,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,378.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 51c | 50,825$25,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,920.55 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 49c | 24,548$12,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,470.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Kings | 49c | 21,356$10,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,891.64 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…3486backed Pacers | 51c | 19,247$9,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,816 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Pacers | 51c | 15,725$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,001.43 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…e56abacked Pacers | 51c | 15,686$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Pacers | 51c | 9,412$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 49c | 8,625$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…5f72backed Pacers | 51c | 8,235$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 51c | 7,547$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.97 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Pacers | 52c | 5,226$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.05 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 49c | 5,190$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers | 51c | 4,845$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Kings | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.62 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Kings | 49c | 4,080$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.8 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Kings | 50c | 4,013$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.61 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pacers | 51c | 3,700$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.86 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Pacers | 51c | 3,531$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.66 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Pacers | 52c | 3,008$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.81 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pacers | 51c | 2,414$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 49c | 2,319$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Kings | 49c | 2,060$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.6 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Kings | 50c | 2,016$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.33 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,786$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.05 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 48c | 1,719$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Kings | 49c | 1,141$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.82 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 49c | 1,136$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 47c | 1,055$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Kings | 49c | 966.56$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.08 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Kings | 49c | 918$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.22 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kings | 49c | 892.86$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.41 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Kings | 50c | 825.71$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.62 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Kings | 48c | 753.7$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.92 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 50c | 643$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.62 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…ffc4backed Kings | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Pacers | 50c | 602.8$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.4 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kings | 49c | 449.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Kings | 50c | 437.8$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.76 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 49c | 427$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…6f98backed Pacers | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…07d1backed Kings | 50c | 406.53$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Kings | 50c | 400.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Kings | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pacers | 51c | 393.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kings | 49c | 357.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Kings | 51c | 349.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 48c | 344.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pacers | 46c | 317.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Kings | 50c | 309.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 49c | 250.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Kings | 49c | 216.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Kings | 49c | 196.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Pacers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Pacers | 48c | 189.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings | 50c | 157.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 49c | 150.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pacers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Kings | 49c | 141.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Kings | 54c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Kings | 49c | 130.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 48c | 128.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Kings | 49c | 124$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Pacers | 50c | 118.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pacers | 52c | 113.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pacers | 51c | 105.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacers | 50c | 104.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Kings | 49c | 102.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…4a10backed Kings | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Pacers | 52c | 96.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Kings | 54c | 92.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…09a8backed Kings | 53c | 87.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Kings | 49c | 81.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Pacers | 53c | 75.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pacers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Kings | 50c | 73.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Pacers | 51c | 70.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Kings | 50c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Pacers | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Pacers | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Pacers | 50c | 63.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Kings | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Kings | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kings | 53c | 59.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Kings | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers | 53c | 55.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Kings | 50c | 54.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Pacers | 50c | 49.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Kings | 52c | 48.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Kings | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Kings | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Kings | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Kings | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Kings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)this page
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. KingsKings won
- Pacers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.