TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,414 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Under51c23,427$11,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,488.391,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c20,408$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c14,413$7,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,104.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Over50c14,041$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0005341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c12,392$6,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,131.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.0777348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under50c10,000$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,965.311,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c7,715$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c6,839$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.934,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under50c4,964$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.1456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c4,800$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over49c4,606$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25733447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over49c4,236$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.6431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c2,387$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.52,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c2,281$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.212,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07110251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c2,048$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.5848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under74c1,908$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c1,729$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.963,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over48c1,434$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.3938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c1,310$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.91,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under51c1,259$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.4723348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over17c1,236$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4926034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under52c1,168$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5415543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,144$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,100$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.133,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c1,065$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.11,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,050$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over50c986.58$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.2725951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3924050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c850$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5861740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c714$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c657.59$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over50c650$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9127455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over21c627.62$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.581,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c605.09$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.051,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c540.96$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.072,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under48c488.49$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.011,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over49c479.81$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over50c402.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under51c392.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1518147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under79c378.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5135942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c375.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeab…3fb8backed Over49c353.43$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c295.66$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c294$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under51c270$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.321743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under51c234.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9610556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x594f…7d49backed Over50c217.6$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c207$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c200.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.193,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under62c196.84$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.861,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over14c186.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5410028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over49c169.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2129652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over48c151.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8330453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over50c151.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c145.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.041,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under74c135.92$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over33c129.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.488952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1762…c83ebacked Over48c123.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.262737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.837549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c117.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over48c112.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over37c105.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under59c104.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0452…ccefbacked Over50c104.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under50c102.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0915752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over49c102.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4963353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5122850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…9e20backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.930641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.161,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under53c75.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Under51c72.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.692853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over50c68.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2530845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over48c63.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4826756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over50c60.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.315558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over21c59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over51c58.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over27c57.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.529338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee0…e158backed Over50c57.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.633135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over50c55.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7231354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over49c52.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8127350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under51c51.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1937845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Over49c50.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258243.9%36 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Over49c50.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee82…1965backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256665.2%43 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.