NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe77469f9ba641751475b6267de2d785a57744d3011de086090357bd375f5e746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 53c | 12,386$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.52 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 7,503$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 5,592$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,199$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.73 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 775.33$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 555.13$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 57c | 333.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 289.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 43c | 193.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 118.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 46c | 79.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 43c | 72.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 54c | 40.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…bdfbbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 32.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 55c | 30.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 54c | 28.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Under | 55c | 27.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…8335backed Under | 54c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5this page
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. KingsKings won
- Pacers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.