TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,946 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c80,423$38,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,819.7954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over53c70,772$37,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,200.8460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c52,245$27,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,134.871,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c23,200$10,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,296.232,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c17,496$8,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,194.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c17,135$8,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,910.484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over52c16,898$8,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,786.9623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c16,367$8,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,509.971,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under47c10,511$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,570.741,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c9,282$4,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c7,872$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c7,693$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.241,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,402$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over52c4,231$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over53c3,193$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Over53c2,544$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.337850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c2,444$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under48c2,329$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.0847542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over61c1,885$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.5941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,602$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Under47c1,590$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.75044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under47c1,553$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9114448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,356$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,221$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under48c1,157$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60223348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over23c1,147$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over54c950.83$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.3248751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under46c853.98$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1529243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4167454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c799$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c765.69$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.492,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over53c675.72$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0630453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over52c674$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4831354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over52c641.61$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6618143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c638$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.761,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c625.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.971,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over53c568.77$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c564.66$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.271,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc483…e42ebacked Over53c562.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under72c555.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1235942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c499.94$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.773,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1762…c83ebacked Over7c428.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.652737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over53c377.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over55c327.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16222453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0ef0…f14cbacked Under14c300$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over53c256.38$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.731354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under46c249.51$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7414636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under42c248.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…8401backed Over52c230.76$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over53c184.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6214466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c177.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over53c175.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9626756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.145647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under49c158.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c157.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over53c151.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9912650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c134.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over53c115.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1527350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over53c105.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0330654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under46c105.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Over53c104.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.518243.9%36 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c104.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.991,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Over53c103.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.155341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under48c103.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6154549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5322850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.915240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c94.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…9e20backed Over53c94.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.983751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over52c91.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9630641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Over53c78.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3219659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.631,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under42c71.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under48c69.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3110945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under46c69.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Under49c67.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.432853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Over53c65.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.637454.1%40 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over53c64.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.931,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c62.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.872,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over48c62.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Under48c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.246741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over53c56.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over53c51.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under48c49.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7319245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under51c47.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9837665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb9c1…2d5dbacked Over53c45.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under48c43.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.852552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over54c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0740548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8462049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Under49c40.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1211946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under46c39.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4137845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.