Other European Leagues · resolved market
Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e9d37a90336ad43dcefd09c7f060d5ea8cba71851e877493bc9d116728ed128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,738$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 1,327$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 658.21$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 43c | 525$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.4 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 39c | 514.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.62 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 54c | 513.73$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 418.48$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 53c | 375.13$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.61 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 319.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Under | 62c | 217.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 180.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Over | 58c | 173.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 78.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 40c | 75.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 52c | 63.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 51c | 61.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Over | 38c | 57.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Over | 38c | 53.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Over | 38c | 53.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Over | 38c | 53.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 38c | 39.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…bfdabacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Over | 50c | 34.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 53c | 31.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 58c | 24.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.