Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78423152e5524b90ce7a74232d83f722be2d677586f4c67957731eb645e7b2d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 5,596$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.98 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 75c | 2,660$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.95 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,904$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 1,878$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 1,286$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.59 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 56c | 1,114$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…a537backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 32c | 942.91$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 938.06$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 56c | 928.09$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.36 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 53c | 900.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.46 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Over | 53c | 770.81$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 26c | 386.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 332.09$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 51c | 274.04$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 255.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 56c | 235.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Over | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 112.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Over | 55c | 103.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 68c | 102.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 71c | 52.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 49.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Under | 49c | 44.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…7905backed Over | 52c | 30.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 47c | 29.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Under | 45c | 27.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 72c | 26.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 56c | 26.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…2644backed Under | 49c | 26.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 53c | 26.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…ef0cbacked Over | 53c | 26.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Under | 45c | 25.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…d025backed Under | 48c | 25.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Under | 45c | 25.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Under | 45c | 24.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 23.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.